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Penn and Teller on Risk

Probably the best presso I have seen on both risk and the lunacy of those brain dead peanuts who bang on about vaccination.

Penn and Teller on Risk

Probably the best presso I have seen on both risk and the lunacy of those brain dead peanuts who bang on about vaccination.

We Are All Doomed

Recently I struck a technical problem with one of the gizmo’s I owned so I fired up the old googlebox to see if I could find a solution in one of the various online forums. Not really being a denizen of forum’s it was somewhat of an education and not in a good way. If you ever want to know why testosterone levels are dropping in men don’t look at the rise of synthetic eostrogens in the environment look at friggen internet.

I got in no particular order of nancyboyness –

  1. My cat Tiddles is going in for an operation on his foot tomorrow can everyone say a pray for him.
  2. I don’t know if the girl in the next cubicle likes me and if I should do something about it.
  3. I am not able to do (insert meaningless task here) because immigration wont let the girl I met in Thailand into the country. How can I convince them that we want to get married.

That fat muppet Oprah has a lot to answer for in convincing people that the best way to deal with a problem is not to actually deal with the problem but to share it with the entire planet.

So, in the spirit of caring and sharing here are my responses.

My cat Tiddles is going in for an operation on his foot tomorrow can everyone say a pray for him.

Mate…it’s a friggen cat. Don’t you know that outside of owning a 1970’s Russian nuclear reactor owning a cat is probably the greatest environmental mistake you could make.

I could imagine the boys on the Kokada Track sitting there waiting to repel the next Japanese human wave attack when Stan turns to Jock and says – listen Jock my cat needs an operation can we say a prayer for him. Jock probably said no worries sport after we have repelled this attack, survived this shithole and saved our country from invasion we will all sit around the campfire, hold hands, sing a round of Kumbaya and say a little prayer for your cat. Obviously, that is obviously the most important thing in the universe right now.

 

I don’t know if the girl in the next cubicle likes me and if I should do something about it.

Here is a tip for you Romeo and it is something we used to do in the olden days before we started using moisturiser, toners, fake tan, and putting product in our hair…….ask her. By ask her I don’t mean picking up your friggen phone and sending her a text message – although sending her a photograph of your meat and two veg might convince her that you are a man and not some sad little emo waiting for your voice to drop. Man up, put your hands in your pockets to protect your assets – that is if they haven’t shrivelled up from working over your Nintendo too much and wander over to her.

Its not hard, although in your case it probably never will be. Better also see the local GP about those testosterone patches.

I am not able to do (insert meaningless task here) because immigration wont let the girl I met in Thailand into the country. How can I convince them that we want to get married.

Dear I bought myself a wife, good luck with this one. You see immigration officials whilst most likely being overweight, lazy, lacklustre peanuts have probably seen this before. You know when your mother used to tell you this is for your own good when she hit you over the head with a frying pan. Well, this is one of these moments. So to save yourself the embarrassment of –

  1. Finding out she is actually a man
  2. Having her leave two weeks after the wedding taking with her your prize collection of fake porcelain dolls

Take the advice of the immigration folks and let this one go. You can always go online and tell everyone your sad tale instead of keeping it to yourself. Alternatively, you could register with a new dating service I am setting up. Just go to www.Imasadbastard.com and fill out the form.

 

 

 

We Are All Doomed

Recently I struck a technical problem with one of the gizmo’s I owned so I fired up the old googlebox to see if I could find a solution in one of the various online forums. Not really being a denizen of forum’s it was somewhat of an education and not in a good way. If you ever want to know why testosterone levels are dropping in men don’t look at the rise of synthetic eostrogens in the environment look at friggen internet.

I got in no particular order of nancyboyness –

  1. My cat Tiddles is going in for an operation on his foot tomorrow can everyone say a pray for him.
  2. I don’t know if the girl in the next cubicle likes me and if I should do something about it.
  3. I am not able to do (insert meaningless task here) because immigration wont let the girl I met in Thailand into the country. How can I convince them that we want to get married.

That fat muppet Oprah has a lot to answer for in convincing people that the best way to deal with a problem is not to actually deal with the problem but to share it with the entire planet.

So, in the spirit of caring and sharing here are my responses.

My cat Tiddles is going in for an operation on his foot tomorrow can everyone say a pray for him.

Mate…it’s a friggen cat. Don’t you know that outside of owning a 1970’s Russian nuclear reactor owning a cat is probably the greatest environmental mistake you could make.

I could imagine the boys on the Kokada Track sitting there waiting to repel the next Japanese human wave attack when Stan turns to Jock and says – listen Jock my cat needs an operation can we say a prayer for him. Jock probably said no worries sport after we have repelled this attack, survived this shithole and saved our country from invasion we will all sit around the campfire, hold hands, sing a round of Kumbaya and say a little prayer for your cat. Obviously, that is obviously the most important thing in the universe right now.

 

I don’t know if the girl in the next cubicle likes me and if I should do something about it.

 

Here is a tip for you Romeo and it is something we used to do in the olden days before we started using moisturiser, toners, fake tan, and putting product in our hair…….ask her. By ask her I don’t mean picking up your friggen phone and sending her a text message – although sending her a photograph of your meat and two veg might convince her that you are a man and not some sad little emo waiting for your voice to drop. Man up, put your hands in your pockets to protect your assets – that is if they haven’t shrivelled up from working over your Nintendo too much and wander over to her.

Its not hard, although in your case it probably never will be. Better also see the local GP about those testosterone patches.

I am not able to do (insert meaningless task here) because immigration wont let the girl I met in Thailand into the country. How can I convince them that we want to get married.

Dear I bought myself a wife, good luck with this one. You see immigration officials whilst most likely being overweight, lazy, lacklustre peanuts have probably seen this before. You know when your mother used to tell you this is for your own good when she hit you over the head with a frying pan. Well, this is one of these moments. So to save yourself the embarrassment of –

  1. Finding out she is actually a man
  2. Having her leave two weeks after the wedding taking with her your prize collection of fake porcelain dolls

Take the advice of the immigration folks and let this one go. You can always go online and tell everyone your sad tale instead of keeping it to yourself. Alternatively, you could register with a new dating service I am setting up. Just go to www.Imasadbastard.com and fill out the form.

Overconfident Gibbons

Interesting piece on the evolution of overconfidence

Confidence is an essential ingredient of success in a wide range of domains ranging from job performance and mental health, to sports, business, and combat. Some authors have suggested that not just confidence but overconfidence-believing you are better than you are in reality-is advantageous because it serves to increase ambition, morale, resolve, persistence, or the credibility of bluffing, generating a self-fulfilling prophecy in which exaggerated confidence actually increases the probability of success. However, overconfidence also leads to faulty assessments, unrealistic expectations, and hazardous decisions, so it remains a puzzle how such a false belief could evolve or remain stable in a population of competing strategies that include accurate, unbiased beliefs. Here, we present an evolutionary model showing that, counter-intuitively, overconfidence maximizes individual fitness and populations will tend to become overconfident, as long as benefits from contested resources are sufficiently large compared to the cost of competition. In contrast, “rational” unbiased strategies are only stable under limited conditions. The fact that overconfident populations are evolutionarily stable in a wide range of environments may help to explain why overconfidence remains prevalent today, even if it contributes to hubris, market bubbles, financial collapses, policy failures, disasters, and costly wars.

 

 

We Are A Little Bit Scared……..Sortof

As the Yanks continue to argue as to how they are going to pay the rent I thought it was time to update my VIX/Dow comparison. The markets seem a little bit skitterish but they are not yet at the levels seen during other crisis events.

I have posted both a weekly and daily chart so you can see the longer term history of the VIX in relation to events such as the GFC and Tech wreck.

We Are A Little Bit Scared……..Sortof

As the Yanks continue to argue as to how they are going to pay the rent I thought it was time to update my VIX/Dow comparison. The markets seem a little bit skitterish but they are not yet at the levels seen during other crisis events.

I have posted both a weekly and daily chart so you can see the longer term history of the VIX in relation to events such as the GFC and Tech wreck.

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