In an earlier article for Bloomberg View, I described a danger facing investors: the put-option illusion. This is when investors, who tend to extrapolate too much from recent trends, are fooled into thinking that a string of good returns means an investment has very little risk. Often the risk is just lurking way out in the tail…
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The table below grabbed my attention this morning, it from the investment research group Bespoke who produce all manner of statistics on the market. Most of which I neither understand nor use. What the table basically says is that the short sold stocks have outperformed the market on the upside – that is short…
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The Fields Medal for mathematics is the equivalent of the Nobel Prize and is awarded to mathematicians under 40. The prizes this year contained a young female mathematician whose work on abstract surfaces is beyond me. This raises the blunt question of why the fuck has it taken so long to give the prize to…
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These are a few of things that have been on my reading list lately. The Return How Gamblers Get Hot If You Cant Choose Wisely, Pick At Random Practice Not As Important As Thought What’s the Point If We Can’t Have Fun? Why Smart People Are Stupid
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I have snipped the two quotes from the always interesting Lefsetz Letter which is ostensibly about the music industry but is actually about so much more. INFORMATION OVERLOAD The twentieth century was all about scarcity, making it to the top and then dominating. Today there’s so much information that you feel inadequate. It’s an endless buffet…
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I thought I might take a bit of a longer look at the events of last week and see what they might mean; if anything. One of the interesting things about markets is the presence of perma- bears – that is traders/pundits/general idiots who no matter what the market condition are constantly calling for the…
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