I know I should not be amazed at the limited grasp of market reality that afflicts both financial journalists and fund managers but this one is a corker. Five-year bull run continues “Given a five-year bull run it is impossible to argue stocks look cheap, but the market is not necessarily too high,” MLC Investment…
I was cleaning out some old stuff of mine after finally getting the painters out of my house and I came across an old battered and weathered t-shirt of mine that had the following kanji characters written on it. For those whose Japanese is a little rusty it breaks down to the expression Osu. Osu…
Whenever, you take a position in a given instrument you are by definition doing something that is different from someone else in the same circumstances. Consider the chart below of Apple. I could make the compelling case that the stock has broken out. It has made a new high, broken out of resistance and has…
Humans by and large are appalling natural statisticians, we continually misunderstand the risk of certain events occurring. I have friends who wont swim at the beach because they are frightened of sharks by will drive for two hours to get to the beach and then sit on the sand.
With the Russians playing funny buggers in the Ukraine I came across the following table from the WSJ.it looks at the response of the market to a series of shocks. I was surprised to see that the Cuban missile crisis only dropped the market 2.7% .I would have thought that the prospect of Armageddon would…
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