The chart below is of NY Cocoa using a 4-hour time frame. It gives a good example of why we wait. Traders moved in on the large bearish candle that took price to that boundary of support only to have the price churn at support for the next…
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Whenever there is an outbreak of violence in the Middle East traders thoughts naturally turn to what will happen with oil. Unfortunately the narrative they generate is clouded by very simplistic assumptions that don’t reflect the reality of trading a commodity such as oil.
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