Whenever there is an outbreak of violence in the Middle East traders thoughts naturally turn to what will happen with oil. Unfortunately the narrative they generate is clouded by very simplistic assumptions that don’t reflect the reality of trading a commodity such as oil.
There are too many lessons in this little tale to unpack in a short space of time. However, when I read this piece for the first time, I was reminded of the role of luck. When vast numbers of traders read these, they will ask the question, “Why hasn’t their account done this?” The answer…
Whenever I talk to people about what a trading system is and what its function is they are often confused by my view. My view is that a trading system is designed to keep you ut of suboptimal positions not necessarily find you massive winners. As an explanation consider the table below which appeared on…
One more time for those at that back and hard of hearing. This is a repeat of something I have spoken about innumerable times in the past, but it is worth repeating because it is so important. If you ever have dealings with a financial planner or fund manager, they will show you a graph…
There was a time not long ago when the possibility of a major conflict in the Middle East would have caused energy markets to light up like a Christmas tree. Not any more.
The constantly evolving nature of markets makes them trade generating factories for those who can spot the change as it is occurring. However, spotting change is harder than it would seem if you rely upon the wrong basis for comparison and don’t understand that markets are also quite nuanced.
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