Whenever, you take a position in a given instrument you are by definition doing something that is different from someone else in the same circumstances. Consider the chart below of Apple. I could make the compelling case that the stock has broken out. It has made a new high, broken out of resistance and has…
Humans by and large are appalling natural statisticians, we continually misunderstand the risk of certain events occurring. I have friends who wont swim at the beach because they are frightened of sharks by will drive for two hours to get to the beach and then sit on the sand.
With the Russians playing funny buggers in the Ukraine I came across the following table from the WSJ.it looks at the response of the market to a series of shocks. I was surprised to see that the Cuban missile crisis only dropped the market 2.7% .I would have thought that the prospect of Armageddon would…
Whether you’re naked and hungry on the savannah, driving in traffic or at the controls of your favorite video game, being slow to react can get you eaten, injured or splattered across the screen. While we intuitively know this, a new study offers dramatic evidence of how much speed of response still matters: In men…
This is an interesting episode from the ABC’s Health Report. Long story made short – the way you think doesn’t give you cancer and the way you think about your cancer once you have it doesn’t determine or influence your survival. Somewhat puts a hole in all those dickheads who post in social media, although…
Here are two charts I snipped from Bespoke – those folks who generate massive numbers of metrics very few of which I understand. Whenever, I come across something like this the first question I ask is does it in some way assist in the trading process. Trading is an information management profession – everyday we are…
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