The Telegraph – Staff are understood to have received quarterly bonuses last Monday. It is not clear whether the bonuses were also received by staff in the US. The news is likely to anger those MF Global customers who have still been unable to access money they held with the broker It is not surprising that…
When you wander into the work of Kahneman and Tversky far enough, you come to find their fingerprints in places you never imagined even existed. It’s alive in the work of the psychologist Philip Tetlock, who famously studied the predictions of putative political experts and found they were less accurate than predictions made by simple…
With Italy showing Greece that it doesn’t have a monopoly on incompetance I thought I would redo the graphs I showed in this posting with a look back period of a one year. As you can see in terms of compound daily growth last year has been a shocker.
The chart below is from Merrill Lynch’s Market Analysis and it shows according to their definition the last four major bear markets including the bastard of a one we are stuck in at present. From my perspective the issue is the relevance of such charts – granted there are lost decades for buy and hold…
I have been following The Atlantics remarkable photo essay on WW2. The entire series can be found here Parts of it as you would expect are brutal in the extreme but it does show the extraordinary resilience of people in times of appalling violence. The current series is about life after the war and the…
Thought I would knock up a dodgy chart looking at the daily returns on the All Ords for the past 10 years versus the past two years. As you can see the past two years has not been the best time to be a long side trader or buy and hold peanut. Ten Years Two…
I came across this interesting little graphic in the NYT at the weekend and thought interesting little picture might see what the underlying article has to say. To save you the trouble of reading it, the article is a little piece regarding volatility and the lack of movement in the S&P500. The concluding paragraph of…
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