Lucky Bastards
To offer a counterpoint to Talebs notion of luck being the arbiter of all success a piece called what Lucky People do Different
Taleb
A bit of a chat with Nassim Taleb – the author of Fooled by Randomness and Black Swans. I have never really been one of Talebs fans since Fooled by Randomness seemed to be a long series of self justifications as to why he couldn’t trade. The central undercurrent of the book seemed to be…
DetailsImaginery Friends
If you thought the responses on our politicians to serious problems was somewhat of a joke consider the case of Texas Governor Rick Perry. Texas is in the grip of a severe drought much like parts of Australia had been. His response is to call for a national three days of praying for rain. TO…
DetailsGold
The markets section of the WSJ is currently running a piece titled the World is Bitten by the Gold Bug. “Gold continued its upward march in a time of global financial tumult, closing above $1,500 an ounce Thursday for the first time as investors seek safe haven in the metal. In a remarkable performance for…
DetailsHow do you spell BUBBLE
Anyone who has been to Vancouver will attest to the fact that it is a magnificent city – one of the few places where you can go sailing in the morning and skiing in the afternoon. In recent years it has been in the grip of a ferocious property bubble that puts the ones seen…
DetailsPredicting the Improbable
Excellent paper by VoxEU.org on behaviour around what are considered improbable events. Predicting the improbable Claus Bjørn Jørgensen Sigrid Suetens Jean-Robert Tyran 22 April 2011 Japan’s trio of tsunami, earthquake, and nuclear disaster has left the world stunned. As this column points out, even the experts were shocked. But while these events were highly unlikely,…
DetailsFace Blindness
Time to make yourself smarter.
On Being Wrong
Trading is a profession that is founded upon being wrong but still being profitable despite this.
