Apropos my last piece on superfunds I was pondering why they are so ordinary and I remembered a piece I did on this many years ago which I have reproduced below. Wall Street relies on “stock analysts.” These are people who do research on companies and then, no matter what they find, even if…
Traders make trading harder than it should be – it seems that all traders move towards a point of maximum complexity, followed closely by maximum confusion. Listening to a lot of the chatter recently people seem to be trying to trade when there is no clear reason to be trading. There is no rule that…
The Telegraph – Staff are understood to have received quarterly bonuses last Monday. It is not clear whether the bonuses were also received by staff in the US. The news is likely to anger those MF Global customers who have still been unable to access money they held with the broker It is not surprising that people…
With Italy showing Greece that it doesn’t have a monopoly on incompetance I thought I would redo the graphs I showed in this posting with a look back period of a one year. As you can see in terms of compound daily growth last year has been a shocker.
When you wander into the work of Kahneman and Tversky far enough, you come to find their fingerprints in places you never imagined even existed. It’s alive in the work of the psychologist Philip Tetlock, who famously studied the predictions of putative political experts and found they were less accurate than predictions made by simple…
I have been following The Atlantics remarkable photo essay on WW2. The entire series can be found here Parts of it as you would expect are brutal in the extreme but it does show the extraordinary resilience of people in times of appalling violence. The current series is about life after the war and the image below…
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