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LATEST BLOGS

All You Need Is A Picture

Last night I had a contingent trade trigger me into a short position into Lumber. Everything looked wonderful for probably all of about 25 minutes. The good thing about trading is that such things happen – it reminds that nothing is certain and you are never as clever as you think you are.

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Here are 10 reasons why you’re broke – Michael Yardney

Life is expensive. The cost of living seems to be increasing almost as swiftly as Sydney’s house prices, and it can be a struggle to keep your head above water financially, let alone prosper. But do you want to know the truth? Deep down, there’s usually a reason why you’re broke… and it’s often because you…

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Wedding of the Year

I tend to agree. Being shot out of the right vagina or playing hide the sausage with the right person should not decide your status. Nor should it imply a status that puts you above everyone else.

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How heavy use of social media is linked to mental illness

According to a survey in 2017 by the Royal Society for Public Health, Britons aged 14-24 believe that Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat and Twitter have detrimental effects on their wellbeing. On average, they reported that these social networks gave them extra scope for self-expression and community-building. But they also said that the platforms exacerbated anxiety and depression, deprived…

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Mum And Dad Investors Are Snowflakes

I have been thinking about this piece I posted yesterday. The central tenet is that to admit a mistake is to undermine one’s sense of self. Thus doing so is extremely difficult for professional money managers. My thoughts have drifted to the current round of pending and proposed legal action by shareholders against various companies,…

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Why Can’t Fund Managers Admit Mistakes?

A good piece with applications at all levels of trading. “It infuriates me to be wrong, when I know I am right.” (Moliere) In a previous job, I worked for an investment consultant who employed a psychologist to assist in their fund manager research process.  I vividly recall her making a particularly astute point about…

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Bitcoin Drawdown

Since I had a look at the MaxDD for MNF yesterday I thought it would be interesting to see the same for BTC. One of the arguments put forward by BTC fetishists is that BTC would display lower volatility than other currencies or payment methods. Somehow I dont think this claim stacks up, not unless…

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Quote Of The Day

Do every day or something for no other reason than that you would rather not do it, so that when the hour of dire need draws nigh, it may find you not unnerved and untrained to stand the test.” – William James.

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Hindsight Is The Perfect Investment Tool

It is often the preserve of finance journalists to suffer from the almost terminal affliction of hindsight bias – this sort of creeping determinism that some things were obvious all along. Recently I came across an excellent example of this whilst trawling for an online chart on Yahoo Finance. The piece breathlessly claims How buy and…

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Watching People Tells You So Much

I enjoy watching people – from afar off course because their actions tell you so much about both them and their lives. For example I have just returned from my local shopping centre which was packed to the rafters with people who had obviously just woken up and realised that tomorrow is Mothers Day and…

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Apparently The Miners Are To Blame

Whilst heading back from the gym this morning I heard on the radio that the local market was eyeing off a 10 year high ( a good thing) due to a surge in demand for local miners (perhaps). Naturally I decided to have a look at the comparative performance of the big five local miners…

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Not All Indices Are Created Equal

I have been playing around with the comparative returns from various local indices – this is what happens in Melbourne when the weather turns to shit and I get bored. It has long been known or at least should be that market selection is a cornerstone of effective trading. One of the reasons why domestic…

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