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LATEST BLOGS

Murmuration

If you have ever wondered how markets work or how simple behaviours can lead to vastly complex outcomes consider this video on murmuration in starlings. Murmuration is simply a gathering of starlings – this behaviour is rarely caught on film but it is the product of two simlpe rules. Keep up and don’t bang into…

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Murmuration

If you have ever wondered how markets work or how simple behaviours can lead to vastly complex outcomes consider this video on murmuration in starlings. Murmuration is simply a gathering of starlings – this behaviour is rarely caught on film but it is the product of two simlpe rules. Keep up and don’t bang into the…

Read more

WTF Would You Do With This?

I have frequently kicked equity analysts in the nards – the reason being their analysis is rubbish and of no fundamental use to anyone. In fact it acts as a drag on the performance of individuals and institutions. Consider this Technical and Macro Market Update How does this in any way assist in the decision making?…

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Confusion Reigns

Traders make trading harder than it should be – it seems that all traders move towards a point of maximum complexity, followed closely by maximum confusion. Listening to a lot of the chatter recently people seem to be trying to trade when there is no clear reason to be trading. There is no rule that…

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There is Crap Performance and Then There Are Superannuation Funds

Whilst munching on my toast and vegemite and playing with my tablet (not a euphemism) I saw this neat little paragraph on news.com.au – Superannuation fund analyst Superratings’ figures show that annual returns for the median “balanced” super fund sector, which accounts for about 80 per cent of Australia’s $1.3 trillion super industry, averaged just 0.92 per…

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Analysts And Other Losers

Apropos my last piece on superfunds I was pondering why they are so ordinary and I remembered a piece I did on this many years ago which I have reproduced below.   Wall Street relies on “stock analysts.” These are people who do research on companies and then, no matter what they find, even if…

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Confusion Reigns

Traders make trading harder than it should be – it seems that all traders move towards a point of maximum complexity, followed closely by maximum confusion. Listening to a lot of the chatter recently people seem to be trying to trade when there is no clear reason to be trading. There is no rule that…

Read more

Analysts And Other Losers

Apropos my last piece on superfunds I was pondering why they are so ordinary and I remembered a piece I did on this many years ago which I have reproduced below.   Wall Street relies on “stock analysts.” These are people who do research on companies and then, no matter what they find, even if…

Read more