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LATEST BLOGS

PIIG’s

An interesting graphic from The Economist depicting who is picking up the bill for bailout of Portugal, Ireland and Greece. The price of having a government that cannot run a hot bath is very high…for others.

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China

This chart of the Shanghai Composite interests me. If we accept that markets are forward pricing mechanisms then this presents an interesting picture of the true internal dynamics of the Chinese economy. As opposed to the state sponsored data shows this chart by derivation an economy that is actually slowing not expanding. The Shanghai Composite…

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The Short Long

Interesting speech by a Bank of England official about the demise of the notion of a long term time horizon in investing, a sentiment I would tend to agree with. It is a constant battle to get traders to think about where they will be next year ass opposed to where they will be will…

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The Short Long

Interesting speech by a Bank of England official about the demise of the notion of a long term time horizon in investing, a sentiment I would tend to agree with. It is a constant battle to get traders to think about where they will be next year ass opposed to where they will be will…

Read more

China

This chart of the Shanghai Composite interests me. If we accept that markets are forward pricing mechanisms then this presents an interesting picture of the true internal dynamics of the Chinese economy. As opposed to the state sponsored data shows this chart by derivation an economy that is actually slowing not expanding. The Shanghai Composite…

Read more

WTF??

This is Goldmans view on the Euro – if someone can understand it can they please tell the rest of us – 1. Risk Correlations: In recent days we had become more preoccupied with potential risks to our tactical trading recommendations. We published a daily on the persistent Dollar correlations with risk assets and on…

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Delusions…..again

I have written before about the nature of delusions and how permanent they seem to be in those that suffer them. Every time I come across something to do with such behaviour it reinforces in me that irrationality is the default state for humans and that there is not a lot that can really be…

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Delusions…..again

I have written before about the nature of delusions and how permanent they seem to be in those that suffer them. Every time I come across something to do with such behaviour it reinforces in me that irrationality is the default state for humans and that there is not a lot that can really be…

Read more

WTF??

This is Goldmans view on the Euro – if someone can understand it can they please tell the rest of us – 1. Risk Correlations: In recent days we had become more preoccupied with potential risks to our tactical trading recommendations. We published a daily on the persistent Dollar correlations with risk assets and on…

Read more

Is The Market Rigged? Survey Says … ‘Yes!’

I say who gives a shit – this is the sort of irrelevancy that amateurs who fail constantly and conspiracy nuts look to as justification for their loserness (I just invented a word) A key feature among successful traders is that they accept that the market will tell them everything they need to know and…

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