LATEST BLOGS

Freeloaders

I enjoy capitalism and capitalism via trading because it gives you almost immediate feedback as to your success or failure – there is no need to wait a round to see how things went. The one thing that does give me a chronic case of the squirts is corporate welfare, we have already had the…

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Explainations

I always find it intriguing that fund managers have to go to such lengths to justify their stance on issues – the interesting point is most of it seems like after the fact rationalisation. This is an example of such long winded thinking, unfortunately it also contains that the use of rational economic thinking to…

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A Century of Forecasting

If I am reading this correctly, what they are saying is that forecasting is a waste of time. Perhaps they should have consulted the extensive work of Philip Tetlock before going to the trouble.

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Sheep

Someone dropped this wonderfully insightful image into my inbox this morning. Apparently  it dates back to 1908 – my interpretation of this is that sheep, be they those who just follow or those without a committed opinion get run over by those that do when markets begin to move.

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Sheep

Someone dropped this wonderfully insightful image into my inbox this morning. Apparently  it dates back to 1908 – my interpretation of this is that sheep, be they those who just follow or those without a committed opinion get run over by those that do when markets begin to move.

Read more

A Century of Forecasting

If I am reading this correctly, what they are saying is that forecasting is a waste of time. Perhaps they should have consulted the extensive work of Philip Tetlock before going to the trouble.

Read more

Remarkable Data

I have mentioned before the lack of data regarding real estate which is one of the reasons why it is hard to take any short term pronouncement about real estate seriously. There simply isnt enough quality data to make these sorts of judgments and this situation would obviously be of benefit to land rats since…

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Remarkable Data

I have mentioned before the lack of data regarding real estate which is one of the reasons why it is hard to take any short term pronouncement about real estate seriously. There simply isnt enough quality data to make these sorts of judgments and this situation would obviously be of benefit to land rats since…

Read more

How To Cock It Up

Golf is like trading – it is won by the person who makes the fewest catastrophic mistakes. In managing to achieve this you need to know when to leave well enough alone. This is an example of not knowing when to leave things as they are, put your ego in your pocket and live to…

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A Bit of History

Ok blogophytes – time to learn something. If I were to ask a room full of traders what is the main rule you pay lip service to, I say lip service because most dont do it. It would be – Cut your losses and let your profits run The interesting thing about this phrase is…

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Why Are People So Friggen Stupid?

Last night I had the misfortune to catch some of the evening news whilst wandering in and out from the BBQ. During one of  my kitchen runs I heard that housing in my area had suffered a MASSIVE 6% fall. This news was of course delivered by a dolly bird with a bra size bigger…

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How To Cock It Up

Golf is like trading – it is won by the person who makes the fewest catastrophic mistakes. In managing to achieve this you need to know when to leave well enough alone. This is an example of not knowing when to leave things as they are, put your ego in your pocket and live to…

Read more

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