Sometimes you see comments that make you put your head on the side and develop a quizzical look, much like a labrador contemplating the origin of calculus debate….was it Leibniz or Newton? The comment that caused this was a throwaway line saying that this was the worst market depression we had ever seen, I immediately…
Well, doesnt this suck. That will teach you to try and be a clever dick…. The April 20 historic oil price crash that sent the prompt May WTI contract plunging to the unheard of price of negative $40 per barrel now seems like ancient history with oil back in the $20s (at least until the…
Trading is a profession of uncertainty – the window into tomorrow is opaque as such our decisions are merely bets made on a series of potential outcomes. This uncertainty is essential since it brings the potential for profit, if there is no uncertainty then there is no chance of profit. Claims of no risk trades…
As you know I am a bit of a fan of people lifting really heavy things – the Worlds Strongest Man Competition is compulsory viewing in my house. Who doesn’t love a sport that has the worlds lowest participation rate but also the worlds highest injury rate? Over the weekend an Icelandic giant who has…
The chart below appeared on my LinkedIn feed and it shows the comparison between Zoom Technologies and Zoom Video Communications since the beginning of the pandemic. The image was also accompanied by this post – Its a somewhat snarky dig at investors who confused the two groups with the wonderful advice that you should…
I was wrong…..this is actually trading in the time of Covid-19
Fear of Music, the third album by Talking Heads, begins at maximum velocity and minimum warmth. Congas, funk guitar, chirping synths: Everything is in motion, and yet curiously, nothing seems to be moving. A guitar figure like a crying baby keeps tripping the song’s downbeat, and in the closing seconds, a phased guitar line comes in played by Robert Fripp,…
Wouldn’t it be great if there was a technique that would allow us to vanquish fear and beat back stress? There just might be. In his latest book, The Wedge, bestselling author Scott Carney explains that when humans face challenging situations, our automatic responses tend to make us feel terrible. But the good news is that there are…
As we weather the COVID-19 storm thoughts invariably turn to what life will look like after the storm passes and as luck would have it there is no shortage of economists to tell us what life will be like. Most of their prognostications seem to fall somewhere between being the last person on the Titanic…
A few years ago, when coaching a group of senior traders at a large US investment bank, one of the participants revealed to me that he was also a tournament poker player and was ranked in the world’s top 200 players. Curious to know more, I asked him what he felt gave him an edge…
Harry’s Garage is, in my opinion, the best motoring show going around at present. As to why he sold his Zonda – wait till you hear the servicing costs and that might give you a clue….
Picture the scene: you’re attending a regular medical checkup, fielding questions about your health and lifestyle, when your doctor tells you they can accurately estimate your life expectancy from your answers. Would you want to hear the truth, no matter how brutal it might be? Or would you prefer to live in ignorance? If you…
The chart below comes from Bianco Research via The Irrelevant Investor and it shows a potted history of the largest stocks in the S&P500 over the past 60 years. I always find things like this fascinating as they reinforce the understanding that your history is not the only history. Traders who began their careers this…
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