One of the joys about having been around since Adam was a pup is that you get to see lots of things come and go. On a regular basis you get to see what the new flavour of the month is and you quickly learn that there are no good or bad instruments just good…
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The post I did just now on luck got me thinking about the role of luck in trading – specifically the luck of your starting date. This ties in with a bit of playing around with annualised returns I have been doing in markets that have been rubbish. One of the issues with looking at…
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I was reflecting on this post where I looked at the yearly return for stocks in the S&P/ASX50 and I wondered what one of the more ordinary examples would look like if I played around with missing the best and worst days of the year. I actually knew in advance what the shape of the…
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With the EOFY it was time to fire up excel and play with some stock returns. I took the S&P/ASX 50 and decided to see how each stock had fared during the year, this gave me the table below which I have sorted on the basis of highest to lowest. In terms of observations about…
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My junk email folder is a magnet what I would call examples of shit market analysis. For reasons unknown to me several times a week I get emails detailing a given point of analysis on either the entire market or a given instrument. What interests me about the analysis I receive is how irrelevant they…
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It has been sometime since we have had any longvetiy in commodity trends. Source – FINVIZ
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Whilst I am away I have the annoying habit of looking at other peoples newspapers over breakfast. If there is anything that interests me I make a note in Evernote and then go back and do a bit of reading. Actually a very rare occurrence that I go see anything worth doing any further thinking…
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I mentioned in this piece that I should get around to looking at the original versus current components of the S&P/ASX 200 just to get a sense of index turnover. As a prelude to this I cobbled together a rough first look at the S&P/ASX 50 to see how much what I would consider to…
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Recently I had a look at the distribution of returns for a system I run – the aim of this was to give a sense of how systems trading works. The rules of systems trading are very simple and are based around the concept of ride the losses, pump the winners and allow time to…
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