Most investors have way too much cash. Wealthy investors really have too much. This is a phenomenon Citi Private Bank’s David Bailin has observed whether the markets are soaring, stumbling, or stagnant. According to Federal Reserve figures, retail investors had about 18% of their assets in money market funds and in U.S. bank deposits, considered…
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Its a shitty day in Melbourne, so with nothing better to do I decided to fire up excel, download a bit of data and see what I could learn. Anyone who has spent more than 10 minutes on this blog will realise that I am fascinated by mechanisms of generating excess return with minimal cost…
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Every now and again you hear of someone who managed to win the lottery with their magic scheme, you might even hear that some mathematician has found out what numbers are most likely to be drawn. When I hear of such things I am always amazed that said mathematician seems to confuse lucky with random…
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In the first quarter of last year I begin to tinker with my short term system – in fact the tinkering was so extreme that it essentially became a brand new system. Fortunately, this tinkering coincided with a the onset of a new financial year so I have a full year of data to review…
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Long story made short – fund managers from poor backgrounds make better fund managers than those from wealthy backgrounds. Which does make sense when you think about it not only in terms of drive and the will to succeed without a safety net but also a greater understanding of the need to husband resource. Abstract…
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Lately my junk mail inbox has been inundated with bits and pieces regarding ethical investment. Every now and again it seems if the investing community goes on a bit of a tear and everybody plays follow the leader. Much of what I have been receiving is based upon a paper from last year – Foundations…
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Institutional Investor have just published their latest list of the top hedge fund earners from 2017. To make things easier I have converted the list into the table show below. The return column is the return for 2017 from the groups highest performing fund. I then decided to reorder the table based upon performance. I…
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I have been thinking about this piece I posted yesterday. The central tenet is that to admit a mistake is to undermine one’s sense of self. Thus doing so is extremely difficult for professional money managers. My thoughts have drifted to the current round of pending and proposed legal action by shareholders against various companies,…
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A good piece with applications at all levels of trading. “It infuriates me to be wrong, when I know I am right.” (Moliere) In a previous job, I worked for an investment consultant who employed a psychologist to assist in their fund manager research process. I vividly recall her making a particularly astute point about…
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