One of the key issues facing new traders is being under capitalised. A small trading portfolio can be detrimental for two reasons. One, brokerage fees will churn your account. Two, you are limited in the way you can position size. So in other words a small capital base puts you at a disadvantage when you…
I spied this little piece from the NY Times which had the accompanying headline and graphic. The recent pullback in the US quite naturally took a lot of the high flyers with it. What caught my eye was not that these stocks had fallen but that their drop was seized on by many commentators as…
Its a shitty day in Melbourne, so with nothing better to do I decided to fire up excel, download a bit of data and see what I could learn. Anyone who has spent more than 10 minutes on this blog will realise that I am fascinated by mechanisms of generating excess return with minimal cost…
In the first quarter of last year I begin to tinker with my short term system – in fact the tinkering was so extreme that it essentially became a brand new system. Fortunately, this tinkering coincided with a the onset of a new financial year so I have a full year of data to review…
Apparently according to financial journalists the Shanghai Composite is now officially in a bear market because it has fallen the mandatory 20%. I do wish they would pay attention to what is actually happening. The first chart below shows my usual value of $1 invested i the index. As you can see the glory days…
Since I had a look at the MaxDD for MNF yesterday I thought it would be interesting to see the same for BTC. One of the arguments put forward by BTC fetishists is that BTC would display lower volatility than other currencies or payment methods. Somehow I dont think this claim stacks up, not unless…
It is often the preserve of finance journalists to suffer from the almost terminal affliction of hindsight bias – this sort of creeping determinism that some things were obvious all along. Recently I came across an excellent example of this whilst trawling for an online chart on Yahoo Finance. The piece breathlessly claims How buy and…
I have been playing around with the comparative returns from various local indices – this is what happens in Melbourne when the weather turns to shit and I get bored. It has long been known or at least should be that market selection is a cornerstone of effective trading. One of the reasons why domestic…
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