In yesterday’s video, I discussed the need for a much cleaner signal before taking any action with crude. Last night generated a nice set of signals across the board. Interestingly my longs in Natural Gas were all stopped out as the market retreated.
The chart below is of NY Cocoa using a 4-hour time frame. It gives a good example of why we wait. Traders moved in on the large bearish candle that took price to that boundary of support only to have the price churn at support for the next…
Whenever there is an outbreak of violence in the Middle East traders thoughts naturally turn to what will happen with oil. Unfortunately the narrative they generate is clouded by very simplistic assumptions that don’t reflect the reality of trading a commodity such as oil.
There was a time not long ago when the possibility of a major conflict in the Middle East would have caused energy markets to light up like a Christmas tree. Not any more.
The constantly evolving nature of markets makes them trade generating factories for those who can spot the change as it is occurring. However, spotting change is harder than it would seem if you rely upon the wrong basis for comparison and don’t understand that markets are also quite nuanced.
Whilst sitting in my local having my usual toast and vegemite following training I was listening to a podcast that touched on the fact that in the UK a huge number of people who might be entitled to government benefits didn’t apply for them. Recognising that people might not be aware of these benefits the…
This is a little follow-up to my last video about how data is presented to us and how we interpret it. The following chart is yet another one doing the rounds which is supposed to imply something and in turn, cause people to act. What the chart shows is that the S&P Commodity Index relative…
A constant in the market is change. This perpetual cycle of change is sometimes difficult for traders who want the market and individual instruments to simply repeat their history in an ever repeating cycle of easy profitability.
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