Around this time of year there is always a bit of chatter regarding a Christmas rally, so instead of relying on myth and hyperbole as most of the financial community do I thought I would fire up excel and have a look. The table below is of the average percentage gain for each month going…
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It has been awhile since I did a dodgy correlation matrix of some of our major stocks. These are price correlations only – a correlation above 51% is coded yellow, below 0 is coded grey.
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One of the more frustrating things about trading is that in some ways your returns are bounded by the environment within which you are investing. This is particularly true if you are dim enough to be a buy and hold investor. The underlying sentiments of markets ebbs and flows and this sentiment infects all aspects…
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Hugh Hendry is the manager of the boutique fund Eclectica. Whilst we see the world in different ways I find him to be interesting because of his ability to construct a cohesive, articulate narrative and the way he shines a light on the inner workings of a hedge fund.
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Trading is easy when it is going well and during these periods of profitability you learn nothing. You learn nothing because you think there is nothing to learn and winning trades just seem to spring into existence with little or no input from you (luck requires no input). The time when you learn things both…
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Looking at returns for the top 20 got me thinking about the notion of indices primarily dominated by large caps (top20) and those that were made up of smaller issues. This in some ways confirms my notion that the performance of the local market has been extremely secular and does not have broad support. You…
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