In his 1930 essay “Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren,” the economist John Maynard Keynes predicted a 15-hour workweek in the 21st century, creating the equivalent of a five-day weekend. “For the first time since his creation man will be faced with his real, his permanent problem,” Keynes wrote, “how to occupy the leisure.” This became…
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I came across this chart on LinkedIn – It is a comparison between the Baltic Dry Index and the S&P500. For those who dont know the Baltic Dry Index is a proxy for all dry shipping around the world. Fundamental analysts then somehow contort this is to meaning something about world trade and occasionally you…
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1 million seconds is abut 11 days. 1 billion seconds is about 31.5 years. I cannot remember where I heard the example above but it is a wonderful example of peoples inability to understand scale particularly when it involves orders of magnitude change. In part it relates to why people cannot understand why a loss…
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One of the key issues facing new traders is being under capitalised. A small trading portfolio can be detrimental for two reasons. One, brokerage fees will churn your account. Two, you are limited in the way you can position size. So in other words a small capital base puts you at a disadvantage when you…
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I came across this chart the other day and the message it was trying to convey intrigued me. The chart is from this Vanguard update. I am intrigued because the chart is saying that the market rewards those who hold for the long term – in essence it is talking about a buy and hold…
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For the last 12 months, the global media has been focused on a lot of bad news. But there were other things happening out there too. Good news stories that didn’t make it onto the evening broadcasts, or your social media feeds. More here – Future Crunch
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As the daily predictions of the coming housing apocalypse grow increasingly strident there is some natural push back from the sell side of the industry who have adopted an equal but opposite position. As I said before I do have some sympathy from property investors because the price discovery in their markets is very poor…
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It hasn’t been the best of years for most asset classes – Most of the worlds equities markets have had a a negative return to date and based upon the current degree of gyrating I am not certain it will get much better in the next three weeks.
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