The world around us is a capricious and often difficult place. But as we have developed our mathematical tools with increased sophistication, we have in turn improved our ability to understand the world around us. And one of the seemingly simple places where this occurs is in the relationship between luck and skill. We have…
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In the 1990s, Baumeister and his colleagues spent a lot of time researching self-regulation through the careful application of chocolate. Self-regulation is an important part of being a person. You are the central character in the story of your life, the unreliable narrator in the epic tale of your past, present, and future. You have…
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Through his work, Baumeister has attempted not only to understand his father, but to escape him and the powerful influence of his ideas. Instead of political ideology, he adopts the methods and disciplines of science. But isn’t it true that all scientists, no matter what their intelligence or learning, believe their data is the best? Nobody is…
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Every so I often I get an email from someone asking whether they should buy or sell a given stock. My answer is always the same I cannot offer you advice and do your own thinking. However, recently I got such a request regarding Echo Entertainment that interested me. As you can see from the…
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Mind you this prediction is brought to you by the people who predicted an 87% chance of a crash last year……I must have been dozing on the couch when that happened. Note to self for this year – pay more attention to crashes. SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Global risks are accelerating. This is…
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Graham Davidsonwas in a slump, the worst he’d ever known. In 15 years as a foreign-exchange trader in Sydney, New York and London, he’d always made money. Now, in the winter of 2011, he seemed to have lost his touch, Bloomberg Markets magazine will report in its April issue. Davidson’s trades were all in the…
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I have long suspected that the majority of CEO’s in the Western world, particularly in the US and Australia are vastly overpaid in terms of the value they bring to both shareholders and communities. Many years ago i looked at the share price performance of companies that had the highest paid CEO’s – at the…
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Whenever, you take a position in a given instrument you are by definition doing something that is different from someone else in the same circumstances. Consider the chart below of Apple. I could make the compelling case that the stock has broken out. It has made a new high, broken out of resistance and has…
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