I am always intrigued by the almost constant incantation that says that markets are different now to how they used to be. Every time something happens in a market that doesn’t seem to suit a given perspective or philosophy we get the reasoning that markets are different know. I have lost count of the number…
Details
In the United States we are raised to appreciate the accomplishments of inventors and thinkers—creative people whose ideas have transformed our world. We celebrate the famously imaginative, the greatest artists and innovators from Van Gogh to Steve Jobs. Viewing the world creatively is supposed to be an asset, even a virtue. Online job boards burst…
Details
Bitcoin’s sudden rise has people thinking about the ludicrous heights that tulips achieved in the Netherlands in the 1630s. At the peak of that bubble, a single tulip bulb could cost more than ten times a craftsman’s annual salary. While some of these prices were “justified” by market forces—the rarest breeds were enviable luxury goods—the…
Details
This is a rather complicated piece but the abstract does a very good job of summarising the papers content. We present a simple model in which rational but uninformed traders occasionally chase noise as if it were information, thereby amplifying sentiment shocks and moving prices away from fundamental values The notion of chasing noise as…
Details
Traditionally westerners equate activity with productive effort, as such the more noise and the more fuss you make the more productive you are. The same philosophy drifts into trading, as such trading becomes an activity-based endevour, which then migrates into entertainment. Research by W.B. Canoles, S.R. Thompson, S.H. Irwin, and V.G. France in their paper…
Details
Many of us would hide this discovery and never tell a soul, out of fear or embarrassment of being labeled a psychopath. Perhaps because boldness and disinhibition are noted psychopathic tendencies, Fallon has gone all in towards the opposite direction, telling the world about his finding in a TED Talk, an NPR interview and now a new book published…
Details
Apparently that time of the year when turkeys are nervous is approaching in the US. I saw the chart below doing the rounds on the google box with a big of digging I found that it is apparently from WSJ So I decided to look a bit harder at stock seasonality and generated…
Details
I am a fan of Scott Adams both through Dilbert his alter ego and through his blog. In some ways this ties into my pearlier piece on How Will You Die. But this is very raw and very personal.
Details
I'm your go-to-expert for all things related to our exceptional Trading Game Mentor Program. So don't hold back, ask me questions about the course. And remember, being patient is key as my AI bot skills need time to find you the right answer.
Also, don't forget to register for Priority Notification for the Mentor Program and get a whole heap of free trading resources.
To get that done, go to this link:
https://www.tradinggame.com/priority
