Category Archives: Trading Psychology

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Why Do This?

Trading PsychologyBy Louise Bedford September 21, 2011

In the past I have written about prediction and the fact that we are absolutely crap at predicting the future. Despite this and despite the ease with which people are held to account for their predictions we still get this sort of stuff. This graphic tracks the predictions about the price…

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Survival Of The Stupid

History and Science, Trading PsychologyBy Louise Bedford September 21, 2011

Need I say more……

Twitter For Decision Making

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 19, 2011 1 Comment

Most people know my opinion about twitter – it is the intellectual equivalent of yelling things from a moving car. As such this attempt to to use twitter to track market sentiment doesnt thrill me too much. As an old stats tutor used to constantly drum into our not very bright heads – correlation does…

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Twitter For Decision Making

Trading PsychologyBy Louise Bedford September 19, 2011

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Alpha Or Beta

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 14, 2011 1 Comment

WSJ:One evening a week, a group of CEOs meets in a Manhattan psychiatrist’s office and engages in an ancient ritual. Ostensibly, it is a support group. Inevitably, it becomes a battle for dominance.”Whenever you put alpha males together, the most aggressive will overpower the others,” says T. Byram Karasu, the veteran psychiatrist who has run…

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Intuitive Thinking

Trading PsychologyBy Chris Tate September 14, 2011

The marvels and the flaws that I’ll be talking about are the marvels and the flaws of intuitive thinking. It’s a topic I’ve been thinking about for a long time, a little over 40 years. I wanted to show you a picture of my collaborator in this early work. What I’ll be trying to do…

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Several of out mentorees recently took part in the 2011 Investment Trends survey of Trading Behaviour. Buried in the usual stats about numbers of traders and their expectations was the little gem below. This chart looks at the inputs that traders use for their decision making. The interesting point is that traders are using less…

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Category Archives: Trading Psychology

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