As we finalise our predictions for 2021, it would be prudent to consider what our expectations were for 2020 and how those played out. Markets, economies and people are far too complex to foresee with any level of confidence or accuracy. Making predictions about financial markets is one of those activities that we perform in…
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Pop quiz. If someone suggested to you that you should undergo a mandatory 28-day quarantine to come and give a presentation to them in person that could be done over Zoom would you – a) Tell them to get stuffed. b) Tell them to get stuffed. c) Tell them to get stuffed. If you answered…
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“Don’t tell me the sky’s the limit when there are footprints on the moon.”—Paul Brandt More here – Psychology Today
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….The idea of a “true self” and a “false” or “shadow” self has long preoccupied psychologists. For example, Carl Jung introduced the notion of the shadow side of our personality. He viewed “the shadow” as our unknown, dark side—made up of the primitive, negative, socially depreciated human emotions such as sexuality, striving for power, selfishness,…
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Some time ago I had the chance to sit down and chat with Kirk Chisholm at Money Tree Investing. I am not able to embed their player but you can click here to be taken to the episode.
Vaccines have a behavioural problem. If they are effective then they can eradicate a risk from our lives. The successful development of vaccines means that we are no longer exposed to a variety of illnesses that were debilitating and devastating. Yet because we don’t experience these traumas, it is easy to overlook the incredible benefits…
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I recently read War and Chance by Jeffrey A. Friedman, which considers how foreign policy specialists deal with the uncertainty that surrounds their high stakes decisions. Friedman focuses on an historic reticence to explicitly discuss either probabilities or confidence levels when making subjective judgements. Whilst the impact of decisions made around the whereabouts of Osama bin Laden…
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As anyone who has had the patience or misfortune to listen to me speak on trading for more than five minutes will well be aware, I am fond of saying that trading is simple but not easy and it is. It only consists of three rules, if it is trending up buy it, if it…
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Kate Baecher and her mountaineering group were being guided over a dangerous traverse in Europe a few years ago when a climber in the party ahead of them fell hundreds of feet to her death. Baecher, a Sydney-based psychologist, military veteran, and avid mountaineer with a background helping people perform in high-stress situations, kept her cool…
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