Sports analogies often help us think about how we make investing decisions. Are there streaks in random data? Do past results affect future ones? And most importantly, if you know people have certain biases, what can you do to get a leg up? In this episode, hosts Dan Villalon and Gabe Feghali talk to AQR Principal and…
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In July 1838, Charles Darwin, then 29, sat down to make a decision that would alter the course of his life. The decision he was wrestling with was not related to scientific questions about the origins of species. It was a different kind of decision — existential as well, but of a more personal nature:…
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Are you an agreeable person—you know, a nice guy? If so, a logical follow-up might be: how are your finances? And here’s why: “Agreeable peoplehave lower savings, they have higher debt, and they’re also more likely to go bankrupt or default on their loans.” Sandra Matz is a computational social scientist at the Columbia Business School…
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Sugata Ray conducts the most fun research. From his post teaching and researching at the University of Alabama, he studies disparate influences on asset management and market microstructure. He has looked at the effect of personal real estate transactions and “marital events” on the productivity and risk tolerance of hedge fund managers. We caught up…
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In science, 1905 is known as the annus mirabilis, or “miracle year,” the period when Albert Einstein, at the age of 26, published several discoveries that changed physics forever. By the summer of that year he’d explained Brownian motion, discovered the photoelectric effect (for which he won a Nobel Prize), and developed the theory of…
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In 1997, Warren Buffett, the famous investor and multi-billionaire, proposed a thought experiment. “Imagine that it is 24 hours before you are going to be born,” he said, “and a genie comes to you.” “The genie says you can determine the rules of the society you are about to enter and you can design anything…
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In the summer of 1830, Victor Hugo was facing an impossible deadline. Twelve months earlier, the French author had promised his publisher a new book. But instead of writing, he spent that year pursuing other projects, entertaining guests, and delaying his work. Frustrated, Hugo’s publisher responded by setting a deadline less than six months away.…
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ABSTRACT We show that motivated by sensation seeking, hedge fund managers who own powerful sports cars take on more investment risk but do not deliver higher returns, resulting in lower Sharpe ratios, information ratios, and alphas. Moreover, sensation‐seeking managers trade more frequently, actively, and unconventionally, and prefer lottery‐like stocks. We show further that some investors…
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