Is This A Sign?
….for my short position in lean hogs
A Bit Of A Worry But Not Surprising
A recent survey has found many Australians have low financial literacy; don’t understand how mortgages work or how the RBA cash rate affects them. The survey conducted by super fund-owned bank ME of 1000 people found that almost half of Australians admit to being uninformed about the mortgage market. Furthermore, 40 per cent of survey respondents did not…
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Trading System Design
In the Mentor Program we have been in the process of building and refining a trading system. The question was posed as to what I thought the greatest impediment is to generating such systems and by extension what is the greatest drawback that individual traders face. As always the greatest source of difficulty that traders…
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How The Marines Shaped Our Investment Philosophy
Serving in the Marine Corps was an unforgettable experience. Civilians often tell us “thank you for your service”; however, the real “thanks” is due to the Corps for giving us valuable life lessons. The not-so subtle teachings bestowed upon us by heavily muscled, insanely aggressive Marine Corps Drill Sergeants are still, literally, ringing in our…
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The Mischievous Science of Richard Thaler
Thaler has a mischievous mind. At the same time that he was producing his math-heavy dissertation, he started asking people two questions. The first: How much would you pay to eliminate a mortality risk of 1 in 100,000? The second: How much would you have to be paid to accept a mortality risk of 1 in 100,000?…
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Change Your Socks
In late 1950 the Korean War appeared to be heading to what seemed to be an inevitable UN victory. The North Korean army had been shattered and UN forces had moved swiftly through North Korea and were sitting just south of the Yalu River, which marked the border with neighbouring China. In a spectacular failure…
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Everyone Wants To Be Happy
As a therapist, the number-one goal I hear from my patients is: “I just want to be happy.” I ask, “What would being happy mean to you?” The answers range from “Everything I wish for will happen” to “I will feel good all the time” to “I won’t ever feel sad or disappointed.” These patients…
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What Has The Mentor Program Taken Away From Me
The current crop of mentorees have just finished the first half of their course and are waiting to start to the final three months. One of the new group penned this list of what he had lost courtesy of the program. The illusion of specialness – “Yep I was one on them. I thought things would…
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