Trading is a learned profession—no one is born a fully formed trader. Each response and subsequent activity is learned. The difference between a good trader and a habitually poor trader arises in the mechanism of learning and how they interpret the feedback from each of their actions. The matrix below shows the differences in how…
The Market Is a Mirror: Understanding the Psychological Dynamics of Trading. One of the more well-known books on investing, Blood in the Streets, was written by the Rothschild family. It’s a classic that examines the psychology behind market upheavals. Whenever there’s a sharp decline in the stock market, media outlets often refer to it as…
I was asked over lunch on Sunday what I thought were the major elements that prevent traders from being profitable – so I dug out this old list. Undercapitalised One of the most significant reasons traders fail in the markets is that they begin with insufficient capital. Many newcomers to trading, often fuelled by overconfidence…
……..You have to sit in the discomfort for long enough to see what will happen. Too often, we quit before we hit the point where the body and mind adjust. To be clear, it is a balance between knowing what to stick through to see if you’ll adapt and knowing when you are just digging…
One of the primary motivators of human behavior is avoiding regret. Before the legendary behavioral economists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky formalized prospect theory and loss aversion, they believed that regret avoidance was at the root of the human behaviors they were studying. However, they learned that there are behaviors that regret avoidance could not…
Let me state at the outset of this article that given the number of rules involved in its successful execution trading is the simplest profession on earth. There are two basic rules in trading. They are if the share is trending up over the time frame you are interested in then you go long whatever…
A key to survival in markets is to surrender any notion of control that you might have. All too often traders think that they are by dent of their participation in a trade somehow in control of the trade. They also sadly think that the more indicators they put onto a chart the more control…
Nassim Taleb, Black Swan author and Universa Investments distinguished scientific advisor, talks about the fragility of markets, how to hedge against geopolitical risks and artificial intelligence. He’s on “Bloomberg Markets.”
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